Border apprehensions are down, but White House boasts may be empty chest thumping

By Victor Landa, NewsTaco  (3.5 minute read)  

I found two stories this morning that are at odds with each other, or better said, they’re two different sides of the same set of numbers.


Illegal Border Crossings Appear to Drop Under Trump

I’m letting the “I” word slide because it’s a part of the original New York Times headline.

Here’s the gist:

“Roughly 840 people a day were caught or stopped from entering the United States from Mexico in February, according to Customs and Border Protection, a drop of about 36 percent from the previous February. Just as significant, the number was down about 39 percent from January, a reversal of a year’s long trend of apprehensions increasing in February as the temperature begins to rise and more people try to cross the border.”

[pullquote]In some cases the price of coming to the U.S. has doubled to about $8,000.00. This is a classic market consideration.[/pullquote]

There’s a lot in that paragraph, including a weather report, and the reflexive response from the Trump White House has been to carve a notch on its immigration head post. But they may be boasting.

Sure, the apprehensions of undocumented immigrants are down. But does that mean that border guards are flaking their duties and more immigrants are getting through?

Read more stories about immigrant border apprehensions in NewsTaco. >> 

Does it mean that Mexico is doing a better job of stopping immigrants at its border with Guatemala? Mexican migration, after all, is at a net zero and has been for quite some time. So the biggest chunk of people apprehended at the border are from Central America – El Salvador, Honduras, and Guatemala. Mexico has set-up chekpoints on every road coming from it’s southern border and the apprehensions have climbed. Also, most of those Central Americans are women and children who don’t sneak across the U.S. border. They’re seeking asylum, protection from the violence in their home countries, so they purposely look for authorities in order to turn themselves in.

We also know that smugglers, coyotes, have increased their “fee.” In some cases the price of coming to the U.S. has doubled to about $8,000.00. This is a classic market consideration. Trump’s loudly-broadcast immigration rants give smugglers the hook they need to raise their prices, even though it’s just Trump bluster taunting an increase in border security that hasn’t happened yet.

So let’s not jump to chest-beating conclusions.

Trump may be snatching immigrants from their daily lives and deporting them with no due process, but how is Trump’s net deportation number different from the Obama deportation record? In other words, loud and public doesn’t mean stronger. There could be other things affecting the outcome and the number may increase next month, or the month after that.

And that doesn’t bode well for the economy, because business likes stability. And immigrant labor is a big part of the workforce.

Check out what CBS News reports today:

Immigration is the only thing keeping U.S. work force growing

Photo by Jens Schott Knudsen/Flickr

You have to add this to the mix.

“. . . the Pew Research Center . . . projects that the U.S. working-age population (people aged 25-64), which was 173.2 millionin 2015, will shrink to 165.6 million by 2035 without immigrants entering the country. At current rates of immigration, by contract, the worker pool will grow to 183.2 million, Pew estimates.”

So the hands that applaud lower undocumented immigration are the same hands that are going to find that the money in their wallets affords less and less as they cheer and cheer.

This is serious stuff.


Sign a petition to stop Trump’s immigration ban 
Click HERE 

As baby-boomers retire “new immigrants account for all the projected growth in the labor force, according to Pew.” It’s inevitable. “Even if immigration proceeds at the same rate, the growth rate of working-age adults will be slower compared with previous decades, Pew found.”

So all the praise going to Trump because of the border apprehension number is like confetti added to the winds of bluster. It’s going to leave a mess.

[Photo courtesy of JammedUp News]

Subscribe today!

  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

Must Read

U.S. citizen detained overnight by ICE – they thought he was undocumented

Victor Landa July 6, 2017

By Victor Landa, NewsTaco (1.5 minute read)  This is startling news. Up until last night at a dinner conversation I believed that the idea that an American citizen would be […]

DIECIOCHO Podcast: Texas Rep. Rafael Anchia – Trump, Gerrymandering and Money

NewsTaco June 8, 2017

By Victor Landa, NewsTaco (1 minute read, 34 minute listen)  It’s safe to say that the just-ended Texas legislative session was the most acrimonious in memory. We can talk for […]

Vietnam War veteran fears he could be deported

Victor Landa July 7, 2017

*This Vietnam veteran, born in Mexico, was awarded two Purple Hearts and given U.S. citizenship after his service. He’s misplaced his documents and after paying $345 the government wants more […]

Ted Cruz gets an earful in McAllen for July 4

Victor Landa July 5, 2017

*I’m posting this because it was mostly Latinos, organizing, protesting, making their voices heard. Everyone needs to know that Latinos in deep South Texas are standing up. VL By Patrick […]

The moment Florida cops pull over an Afro-Latina and find she’s the State Attorney

Victor Landa July 13, 2017

By Victor Landa, NewsTaco Patrol cops in  Orlando, Florida, stopped a white sedan recently becasue they ran the tags and didn’t get a return, plus, the tint on the windows […]

Henry Cisneros: Why Can’t Americans See Latinos Are Country’s ‘Saving Grace’?

Victor Landa July 7, 2017

*Good question. I think it’s because we’re not the ones telling our story. We need to fight for our narrative. VL By Suzanne Gamboa, NBC News (1.5 minute read)  SAN […]

A Proposed New Tax, Mainly On Latinos, To Pay For Trump’s Border Wall

NewsTaco May 31, 2017

*This happened yesterday, while the rest of us were mesmerized by the Peckinpahesque implosion of the Trump administration, congress was moving a piece of legislation that would fund the Trumpian […]

Remembering Gus Garcia, Mexican-American Civil Rights Pioneer

Victor Landa July 27, 2017

By Raul A. Reyes, NBC News (7.5 minute read)   In his heyday, Gus Garcia cut a dashing figure in Texas legal and social circles. He was a key member […]