Texas Will Be The Hub For Latino Growth In Next Decade

A new analysis from Real Clear Politics estimates that Texas will gain three new congressional seats after the 2020 Census. And attorney Michael Li noted in a blog post on the Burnt Orange Report:

The Census Bureau has not yet released demographic or geographic information on its 2011 population growth estimates- that’ll come next year.  But if recent trends hold up, about 2/3 of that growth will be Hispanic.

According to data from NALEO this year, Texas and California each 6 Latino/a Congress members (this may change in 2012, given that Texas’ redistricting is still up in the air). California is set to gain only one more seat by 2020, which is to say, Texas is likely to have the largest Latino congressional delegation in the country in a decade.

The states set to gain seats according to Li are:

California, Colorado, Florida, North Carolina, and Oregon would each gain one new seat, while Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, New York, Ohio, and West Virigina would each lose one seat.

So real quick recap: growth in US is likely to continue to be pushed by Latinos, which will result in a higher concentration of federal political power in Texas, California, Colorado, and Florida.